July 23, 2008

To All Politicians: Leave Speculators Alone

Professor Boudreaux hits the proverbial nail...

John McCain credits the recent fall in oil prices on President Bush's announced support for more off-shore drilling and, hence, on the fact that the future supply of oil likely will be higher than previously thought. ("McCain Credits Bush For Drop in Oil Price," July 23).  Sen. McCain also blames the preceding run-up in oil prices on unjustified speculation.

Sen. McCain can't have it both ways.  Prices either chiefly reflect the underlying reality of supply and demand or they don't.  If baseless speculation caused oil's price to rise to heights unjustified by supply and demand - if speculators are financial sorcerers who detach prices at will from underlying economic realities - how does a presidential announcement signaling higher future supplies cause lower prices?  On the other hand, if a more promising prospect of greater off-shore drilling really is responsible for pushing oil prices downward (which I think likely), why would Sen. McCain have ever blamed high oil prices on unjustified speculators rather than on the underlying conditions of supply and demand?

July 16, 2008

Cool New Toy

Google has a new gadget that allows you to search YouTube and other videos for individual words or terms. 

Want to catch your favorite politician in a flip-flop?  Now you can do the research yourself and find a candidate changing his or her words.

The accuracy isn't perfect, but it's pretty fun to play around with.

Check it out here.

(HT: Mullis)

July 10, 2008

Voters Disagree with Obama on Bilingualism

At a speech in Georgia earlier this week, Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama told the audience, "Instead of worrying about whether immigrants can learn English -- they'll learn English -- you need to make sure your child can speak Spanish. You should be thinking about, how can your child become bilingual?"

Apparently, an overwhelming majority of voters disagree with him.  According to a Rasmussen poll: Eighty-three percent (83%) place a higher priority on encouraging immigrants to speak English as their primary language. Just 13% take the opposite view and say it is more important for Americans to learn other languages.

(HT: Jim Geraghty - National Review)

June 26, 2008

Better Late than Never

Elizabeth Dole has apparently been reading our polls.

Dole now supports lifting ban on offshore drilling.

June 19, 2008

Cowell Takes a Walk on Transfer Tax Vote

It's always interesting to watch politicians try to wiggle their way out of voting for potentially controversial items.  Take for example Sen. Janet Cowell (D-Wake) who got up and walked out of the Senate chambers the past two days when the bill repealing the land transfer tax came up for a vote (S 1951).

At one point during a vote on a later bill, Lt. Gov. Perdue could be audibly overheard saying that Sen. Cowell was "out in the hallway."

As you know, Cowell is running for state Treasurer.  Don't the voters of this state have a right to know how she stands on this contentious issue?  Why is she intentionally dodging taking a stand on the land transfer tax?

What is she going to do as Treasurer when the stock market has a bad day and she loses $500 million in the pension fund?  Go and hide in the basement and not talk to anyone?

Leadership is taking a stand for your beliefs even when it may hurt you politically.  What was revealed today is that Sen. Cowell is more interested in playing politics and getting elected to higher office than representing her constituents in Wake County.

June 06, 2008

Elizabeth Dole: What is Going On?

Elizabeth Dole voted to force automakers to raise fuel efficiency standards (CAFE).
Elizabeth Dole has come out in support of all cost, no benefit cap-and-trade scheme.
Elizabeth Dole has not come out against earmarks.

Is Elizabeth Dole a conservative? When the Club for Growth bashes you in your own state, hurting your chances against a lefty, you'd better straighten up and act like a conservative.
-Max Borders

May 27, 2008

Right Wing Strategery

My friend Jon Henke and some of his brainy pals have started a new site called Next Right. Check it out.
-Max Borders

May 22, 2008

Libertarians are Back in NC!

According to Mark Binker at the Greensboro N&R, Gary Bartlett will sign a letter today officially recognizing the Libertarian Party (once again) as an official political party in North Carolina.

North Carolina Elections Director Gary Bartlett said he is about to sign a letter that will give the Libertarian Party the same status as Republicans and Democrats in North Carolina.

“They have sufficient numbers to be recognized as a new party,” Bartlett said.

Starting today, voters will be able to register as Libertarians and Libertarian candidates chosen by the party will be put on the fall election ballot.

Now sit back and watch the exodus from the GOP begin...

May 12, 2008

Veep Watch

Club for Growth has put up a blog devoted to junkies who delight in V.P. speculation. If you share that interest, you'll enjoy VP Watch. Their motto: "Look before you Veep."
-Max Borders

May 09, 2008

Mike Munger: Third Wheel?

Telemarketers Telepollsters are (systematically?) ignoring gubernatorial candidates in the general election, apparently. That is if you can even believe those third party candidates. I'll trust them when they can get their parties on the ballot. Of course, they'll have to get elected to change the rules--Wait. Lemme think about this.
-Max Borders

May 03, 2008

Guilt by Association? A Thought Experiment

Let's say you had a friend who starting going to lodge meetings. At this lodge, anti-Semitic remarks and jokes are made routinely by known neo-Nazi sympathizers. Suppose also that, after telling you all about this anti-Semitism, your friend returned to the lodge, not once, not twice, but on numerous occasions week after week. You might reasonably infer one of three things: 1) your friend is a neo-Nazi; 2) your friend inexplicably tolerates heavy doses of anti-Semitism; or 3) your friend puts up with anti-Semitism because he believes he can benefit from the folks at the lodge in some way.

When you ask your friend about his continued association with the lodge he doesn't offer any alternative reasons. So, it is still not unreasonable for you to infer that it's either 1), 2), or 3)—none of which are very good (as in upright) reasons for consorting with neo-Nazis. Indeed, you would have every reason to question this association until which time your friend offered a more satisfactory explanation. Perhaps his response to you is: "It's none of your business."

But surely his possible embrace of neo-Nazi doctrine is your business if you've made a commitment not to be friends with anti-Semites. So, his dealings with the lodge might give you reason to discontinue your relationship with him. In fact, you may – justifiably – decide not to be friends with him anymore at all until he explains his association with a group you find so unsavory—maybe even immoral. You have your principles after all.

Now, weeks have turned to months have turned to years—twenty years, let's say.  Your former friend returns to you after those many years and says: "I'd like for you to write a letter of recommendation for me." You see, there's this great job he's trying to get. But you reply: "I'd like to write that letter for you, but I still have so many questions about that neo-Nazi lodge."

"Don't worry about that," he replies. "That's water under the bridge. I stopped going to that lodge a couple of years ago." At first, he doesn't tell you he stopped going because he had disavowed the beliefs he may have once had in common with the lodge membership. He doesn't tell you he stopped going because he no longer found the lodge useful in furthering his career (though you do suspect the lodge had recently become a career liability). In fact, he doesn't give you any good reason at all and – apart from some hemming, hawing and disavowals that seem too little, too late – he is unable to tell you whether he ever shared the views of the lodge all those years he was a member.

So, in the absence of any good explanation, do you have a duty of any sort to write him that letter of recommendation? At best, you have incomplete information. At worst, your friend is either an anti-Semite and/or an opportunist.

Nevertheless, people eventually come along and say that because you have refused to write the letter and because you question your former friend's association with the lodge, you have committed a fallacy. "That's guilt by association" they say. But is it? Why would one go to a lodge for twenty years unless he either wanted to draw from the wellspring of neo-Nazi fraternity, or expects some type of personal gain? (No alternative theory about your former friend – like going under cover for the FBI or Southern Poverty Law Center – seems to make much sense.)

The people who are accusing you of "guilt by association" are not only being rash. They, themselves, should be questioned for their want of skepticism; ready, as they are, to sign that letter of recommendation without further reflection. That is, if they suspend their questions about your former friend's possible extremism and eagerly recommend him for the job, then you are right to question their scruples, too. After all, they're putting pen to paper on his behalf. They have refused to ask the tough question: Doesn't people's desire for personal gain sometimes get them to hide their most cherished beliefs when it seems expedient? It's been known to happen.

As you move forward this election season with serious questions about the goings, doings and core beliefs of political candidates – including their records, past associations (not to mention the kind of political opportunism that comes with the territory) – don't let people make you feel as if you're doing something wrong. You're not. You're doing the best you can with what information you have, none of which requires you make leaps of faith. And when too many questions linger, sometimes – sadly perhaps – appearances are all you have to inform your judgment.

Finally, we should also remind ourselves that when these kinds of questions come up in campaign ads, it is part of a healthy national conversation and a thorough democratic process. While it can get unpleasant, even ugly, it's all the by-product of a society that values and protects free speech—warts and all. Your questions, as well as those raised by partisan enemies, represent healthy skepticism … even if that skepticism eventually translates into a vote for someone that captures your trust more than your imagination.
-Max Borders

May 02, 2008

Guilt by Association

A lot has been made recently about whether "guilt by association" has a valid place in political campaigns.  Raleigh attorney Pressley Millen made an impassioned plea against its use on the editorial page of the News & Observer yesterday. His conclusion:

In the end, both logic and law counsel that we judge our candidates personally and not based solely on associations with others, whether it be other persons, groups, ideas or even products. Obama has held elective office since 1997 without ever uttering one word that might cause someone to think that he holds some of the more egregious views attributed to his former pastor. In 22 years of public life, Lt. Gov. Perdue has never given any indication that she pines for the antebellum South. The associations -- thin as they are -- don't lead to guilt.

It's nice that the N&O would allow a Democratic Party insider such as Mr. Millen make a passionate defense of the candidates he supports.

According to NC State Board of Elections and Federal Elections Commission reports, Mr. Millen and his family has donated over $25,000 to Democratic candidates in the past few years.  He has even given money to Bev Pedue and Richard Moore -- two candidates he makes sure to defend valiantly in his op-ed.

The N&O should have disclosed this.   Without this disclosure the reader of the editorial is led to believe that this supposedly neutral 3rd-party is standing up and making a plea against guilt by association, when he is, in fact, guilty of associating with the people he seeks to defend.

Guilt by association is a time-tested campaign tactic.  How many times have we seen Democratic candidates put any and all Republicans next to George Bush?  Heck, they are even doing it to McCain right now, all the while disavowing the NCGOP ad connecting Moore and Perdue to Obama. Only now as it is hitting those on the left a little harder than usual do we hear cries of "guilt by association" being unfair.  Never before have Democratic gubernatorial nominees so embraced the Party's more liberal nominees for President. (Where was Easley when Kerry came to Chapel Hill?  Where's a picture of Bob Jordan and Dukakis?).

This year we have Moore and Perdue both running as fast as they can to throw their arms around and embrace Sen. Obama.  So either they really support Obama and his policies or they are just using his race and popularity to win support for themselves.  One makes them a true-believer and therefore guilty by association, the other makes them, well... the oldest profession in the book.

April 28, 2008

Jim Hunt: Pot Meet Kettle

Good ole Gov. Hunt is on WRAL today "decrying" the use of negative ads in the Governor's race.  Him trying to preach to others on this subject is laughable at best, hypocritical at worst.  Negative ads were perfectly fine for him to use during his many runs.  But now he says that candidates should stay positive?
Puh-lease.

Check out this Time article from 1984.  Anyone remember the "right wing death squads" ad?

The Hunt organization early this summer ran a television advertisement linking Helms to the right-wing death squads in El Salvador. The commercial opened with the sound of gunfire and photos of massacred Salvadoran citizens. A picture of Salvadoran Roberto d'Aubuisson appeared, and a narrator identified him as "the man accused of directing those death squads." A picture of Helms then appeared, and the narrator said, "This is the man whose aides helped D'Aubuisson set up his political party in El Salvador . . . Now Jesse Helms may be a crusader, but that's not what our Senator should be crusading for."

I guess that is what Hunt considers focusing on "positive messages."

Or how about the ad Hunt ran in 1996 (when he was up 10+ points in the polls and didn't need to go negative) that said that Robin Hayes thought people should bathe with Lysol to keep from spreading STDs?

Was that a positive message of what he was going to do for the state, as he is advising other candidates to do?

I guess Hunt abides by the old adage of "Do as I say, not as I do" (or did in his case).

April 18, 2008

Woooooooooooooooooo!

Our YouTube video of the week (heck, this is already odds on favorite to be YouTube video of the Year), features Congresswoman Sue Myrick giving a speech on the floor of the US House of Representatives to honor the career of the one and only, Nature Boy Ric Flair!

Woooooooooooooooooooo!

April 17, 2008

Hint Hint, says Dome, Early Voting for Obama

IN CASE YOU WANTED TO VOTE EARLY FOR OBAMA... Dome lets you know that the candidate is running Google ads that tell you how if you click on them!
-Max Borders

April 15, 2008

Polling the GOP Primary

Tom Jensen at Public Policy Polling released their weekly tracking poll in the GOP race for governor today and while it shows a similar overall lead for Pat McCrory (about 10 points) as our poll released last Friday, there are some different demographics that may paint a different picture.  One of the main differences between our polls is the age distribution of who we poll.  Our poll tends to be older, PPP's much younger.

First of all, as always, we did not poll likely Primary voters, we polled likely General election voters, so our poll numbers should not be construed as a true reflection of what Primary voters will do.  These are two completely different groups who do not always vote or think the same way.   

Our poll skews considerably towards the older age demographic since these are the people who vote in General elections.  (In our GOP sample, 37% of the respondents were 65+ and another 23% were 55-64).
Older people vote in greater intensity than younger voters, it's just the way it is.  Our poll shows McCrory leading among older votes by 12-16 points. 

PPP's poll of GOP Primary voters only has 20% of their sample coming from those aged 60 and above.  And among those voters, they have McCrory leading Smith by only 1 percentage point (34-33).

The demographics for the GOP Primary is that it has traditionally been composed of nearly half of voters coming from the 60+ age group.  So if PPP's percentages for that demographic are correct, they would show a much closer race between McCrory and Smith if you weighted that result to a larger percentage of the sample.

While our poll isn't primary voters, it shows just about the opposite of PPPs -- older voters voting for McCrory in higher numbers.

Who is correct?  I don't know, it's probably somewhere in the middle.  McCrory is up on Smith, but probably by a smaller margin that either of our polls show.

April 09, 2008

Effective at What? I shudder.

The effectiveness rankings are out again -- Again, I ask: effective at what, really?

Marc Basnight and Tony Rand are considered the most effective in the N.C. Senate. Most effective at getting road money away from places that need it? Most effective at quid pro quo arrangements and backdoor deals? Most effective at steering legislation, silencing internal dissent, or what?

Those effective in the House are those like Rep. Jennifer Weiss who is well known for nanny-state measures and economically backward environmental regs/subsidies/etc. Of course, the lefty organization who does the "effectiveness" survey probably delights in how effective these people are. I don't. I shudder.
-Max Borders

April 08, 2008

Who's Looking Out for Taxpayers?

NTU tells you. (Look at NC Congressfolk, here, scrolling down to page 3.) Looks like 2006's drubbing at the polls knocked some so-called conservatives back to fiscal discipline, or so the ratings suggest:

NORTH CAROLINA
Butterfield..............F...............3%
Coble......................B+ ..........81%
Etheridge................F...............9%
Foxx .......................A ............89%
Hayes......................C ............53%
Jones ......................C ............50%
McHenry................A ............87%
McIntyre ................F.............10%
Miller .....................F...............4%
Myrick....................A ............88%
Price .......................F...............3%
Shuler.....................F.............15%
Watt........................F...............4%
State Average .......................38%

March 28, 2008

Duplicity

If I said to you, "my attitude is that I believe in the market, I believe in entrepreneurship, I believe in opportunity, I believe in capitalism and I want to do what works."

Then I proceeded to say that we need to double the capital gains rate, increase the top marginal rate to 39%, raise the minimum wage, strengthen labor unions, and roll back free-trade provisions would you call me a hypocrite?  Or just a politician?

If I called for all those proposals in the above paragraph, would it be fair to call me a liberal?  Or should I get defensive and try to avoid being labeled?

All those statements come from Sen. Barack Obama in an interview with Maria Bartiromo of CNBC.

Economy: The Arrogance of the Planner

Here's a would-be president on how she would "fix" the economy (which is sort of like fixing an ecosystem):

Wake Technical Community College, Clinton proposed a $2.5 billion annual workforce training program, which would expand help for dislocated workers and new "pre-emptive on-the-job training."

"You shouldn't have to produce a pink slip to get help training for a higher-paying job," Clinton said.

So a $2.5 billion "training program" is going to revolutionize a many-trillion dollar economy? What, pray, will you train these workers to do? Who will train them? This, of course, is something that can readily be answered by people with the proper incentives to see that labor shortages are met. But community colleges don't do that good a job at it--it's enlightened guesswork at most (and, sadly, in slo-mo).

Clinton reiterated several of her core economic proposals in language – harsh on drug and oil companies and heavy on praise for the middle class - that often sounded a lot like native son John Edwards, the populist former senator who quit the Democratic primary race before Super Tuesday and remains uncommitted to either Clinton or Obama.

In this same speech she chides John McCain for his admitted ignorance on economics (which he has demonstrated on more than one occasion). She then proceeds to reveal her own ignorance of economics, but with all the humility of Clinton:

“Presidents have to do more than announce principles," Clinton policy director Neera Tanden said in a statement. "They have to solve problems. At a time of crisis in our financial markets, Senator Obama announced a series of broad, vague principles, while offering no new concrete solutions to provide Americans with greater confidence in the market or keep them in their homes. "

So the sum of Team Clinton's wisdom on economic matters is to "solve problems" in a $13 trillion ecosystem interconnected with an enormous global economy. The sheer arrogance of someone who thinks they alone can solve an economic problem - much less bring about economic growth by picking on oil, drug and other major players in the economy and giving handouts to people who made poor economic choices... well that's as meaningful to someone with knowledge of econ as Mrs. Clinton commentary on the NCAA tournament.

Don Boudreaux puts it best in a letter to the Wall Street Journal:

But how scared would you be if such [economic] fears were expressed instead by, say, your veterinarian or your proctologist?  Because these specialists in their respective fields have no expertise at diagnosing the economy, you'd have good reason to take their economic concerns with a grain of salt.  And so it should be, but doubly so, with Sen. Clinton's economic pronouncements.  Not only has she no expertise in economics, but as her recent sniper-fire whopper reveals, Sen. Clinton's own specialty - the dark art of politics - requires of its practitioners an unusual propensity to lie and dissemble.  Almost all that she and her ilk say should be treated with even less respect than would be accorded a professional circus-clown's speculations about string theory.

-Max Borders

March 25, 2008

Labor Unions Trying to Buy the Governor's Race

We've all seen the trend over the past few election cycles that organized labor has targeted North Carolina as fertile ground to expand its reach.  In the past it has mainly been in support of Democratic candidates in the general election, but this year, organized labor is trying to manipulate the Democratic primary for Governor.

Earlier this year, the State Employees Association of NC (SEANC) took it's lawsuit against State Treasurer Richard Moore public spending $30,000 on a series of newspaper ads mentioning their public records lawsuit against his office.  There was little doubt the timing of the ads were politically motivated to throw mud on Treasurer Moore before the primary.

Now, the nation's teacher's union -- the National Education Association (NEA) -- has bought $360,000 of radio time over the next two weeks promoting Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue's education credentials.  (Download pdf of their expense filing here -- Download nea_communication.pdf.)  Dome has the full text of the ad here

$360,000 on radio statewide is a huge ad buy for two weeks.  Any media consultant will tell you that's enough to pretty much blanket the state.

Oh, and how did the NEA pay for these ads?  With the union dues of teachers.  The funds came from their general fund, not from their political action committee.  How many NEA members who support Richard Moore just had their dues confiscated from them and used without their input to support a candidate they do not agree with? 

How many good, honest teachers joined the NEA because they thought it was the right thing to do in order to support their profession and now come to find out that money is coming straight out of their paychecks to influence elections?

If the unions are willing to spend this much in the Primary to get their preferred candidate, how many millions will they spend to advance their anti-business, socialist agenda in the general election?

March 20, 2008

Bill Coming to Raleigh

Media outlets are reporting that former President Bill Clinton will be in Cary on Friday, speaking at the Cary Senior Center around 4:45pm.

Hey Bill, you may want to re-think the timing of that whole thing.  There's a little tournament going on that this area is bat-crazy about, so that is going to be the focus of most everyone's attention for the next 4 days.

And, the Tar Heels are scheduled to play in Raleigh a little after 7.  If your motorcade stops traffic on I-40 and keeps people from getting to the game on time, you could blow this state for your wife just like you did when you ran your mouth in South Carolina.

What scheduler in their right mind drops a candidate or surrogate in the middle of basketball Mecca during the middle of the NCAA tournament?  That's really not good planning.  It's like sending a candidate to campaign in Boston two hours before the Red Sox start Game 1 of the World Series.  Dumb move Clinton camp (Well, given the way you've run the campaign, what else was really expected?).

At least Obama was smart enough to get in and get out before the thing tipped off.

March 18, 2008

Come be our Governor, Bobby Jindal

...because of what you're doing in Louisiana on education, taxation, and ethics reform. The guy hasn't been in office that long yet and already he's been able to work with the Louisiana General Assembly to accomplish a lot of good things.

Meanwhile, in N.C. we've got scandals aplenty (not to mention this garbage), a state legislator to be removed from office, record levels of government spending, plans for more rolling boondoggles while urbanites sit in traffic and rural yokals ride new roads, the highest taxes in the southeast, and crap legislation from last session coming online. The worst part is, the liberal mobocracy that's long been bought and sold by less-than-scrupulous power-brokers from eastern North Carolina shows no signs of letting up. Help, Bobby Jindal, help!
-Max Borders

March 05, 2008

Who Can Hoosierize N.C.?

While Mike Easley is finding creative ways to give our tax dollars away to corporate interests and a growing dependent class, Indiana's Mitch Daniels is making his state formidible again:

Government is “the last monopoly,” he said, and it “lacks accountability.” The only way to make it effective is to “implant” a system of accountability to measure and count results as businesses do, because “what gets measured gets done.” For example, Daniels said, a visit to the Indiana Bureau of Motor Vehicles—the kind of trip most Americans dread—now has an average wait time of eight minutes and ten seconds, down from over 40 minutes. Customer satisfaction has surged to 97 percent. The fact that Daniels refers to patrons of the bureau as “customers” speaks volumes about his corporate mentality.

And...

During his tenure, Indiana has reduced the number of state employees by 10 percent. This reduction, even with the institution of a pay-for-performance system that provides much larger rewards for good workers, has allowed Daniels to operate with a state payroll that is lower than it was four years ago. Daniels’s emphasis is on “managing for results,” and he is not necessarily against government doing the job. But if the private sector is more capable of administering a project effectively, reducing costs, and operating “at the speed of business, not the speed of government,” he supports privatization. That is why IBM has replaced the state bureaucracy in administering welfare programs—which has saved Indiana roughly $1 billion. Daniels also brought $4 billion to the state by privatizing Indiana’s toll road, and he deregulated the telecommunications industry.

Oh, man, and...

One big project Daniels hopes to finish this year is property tax reform. He plans to offer Indianans immediate relief on property taxes by using the revenue from an increased sales tax along with part of the state’s $300 million budget surplus, and he hopes to put a permanent cap on property taxes starting next year.

I don't see any serious gubernatorial candidate in North Carolina who has had the chutzpah to propose anything like these kinds of changes, nevermind one who's promised to deal severely with that rotten General Assembly of ours.
-Max Borders

February 28, 2008

From the Adam Searing Playbook, or the Reverse?

Now John McCain hates the children. Can the left get any more self-parodying?
(Compare and contrast.)
-Max Borders

February 24, 2008

Politicians and Paleolithic Collectivism

As people gear up for an election that includes the vacuity of politicians bent on having us hand over our lives and wallets to the collective, it was a relief to come across Don Boudreaux's letter to the Boston Globe in response to someone writing approvingly of presidential windbaggery:

In "Words still have the power to inspire" (February 24) Leonard Pitts Jr. writes approvingly that the President's authority comes chiefly "from his ability to rally the people, to inspire them in some great challenge or crusade."

Reading these words clarified for me an elemental reason for my scorn of conservatives and modern "liberals."  Being libertarian, I find no romance in collective action.  The yearning to be part of a great collective "challenge or crusade" - be it conservative or "liberal" - reflects humans' tribal instincts.  These instincts served a sound purpose during our hunter-gatherer past, but are today at odds with the individualism that makes us free and prosperous.  Even worse, these atavistic instincts are exploited by silver-tongued and arrogant office-seekers such Barack Obama to gain measures of power that no man or woman should ever be trusted with.

I agree. And I particularly like his allusion to our rather unfortunate hunter-gatherer baggage, which I have discussed in some depth here. I share Professor Boudreaux's sentiment that we are better off suppressing egalitarian instincts in groups over 150, as they cannot be successfully implemented at the level of complex society. I would also agree that politicians are simply masters at making us revert to our caveman ways -- dazzling us with empty notions like "the greater good" which are rarely scrutinized by a population saddled with what Nietzsche would have called a herd mentality.
-Max Borders

February 22, 2008

Obama -- Bowie or Vanilla Ice?

A little fun to kick off a wet and dreary Friday morning.

HT: Campaign Standard blog

February 20, 2008

Accomplishments? Who Needs Those?

Left-leaning windbag Chris Matthews puts the screws to an Obama supporter Tex. State Sen. Kirk Watson on live television last night.  Think the Obama campaign has a new list of talking points to distribute to surrogates?

February 17, 2008

Election 2008: Tyler Cowen Nails It

An article for zealots, worry worts, partisans, and democracy fetishists. Happy Presidents Day.
-Max Borders

February 13, 2008

The British View of Our Vacuous Election Mantras

Change? OK. And...what?
-Max Borders

February 11, 2008

Ch-ch-ch-change

Monday morning giggle.
-Max Borders

February 06, 2008

Thoughts on Super Tuesday

As I was reading all the recap and analysis from last night's voting, I found one piece that really seems to make some sense of the Republican race.  Basically, it says the Republican contest is operating in two realities:  pundit-based reality and voter-based reality.

Pundit-based reality is the political simulacra created by the bloggers, journalists, radio talk show hosts, and other confident opiners who understand how the world should work. Voter-based reality is the messy electoral aftermath that occurs after voters cast their ballots and show us how the world actually works. For the past few months we've been living in the pristine bubble of pundit-based reality only to have it popped by the inexplicable actions of the Voter Class.

Pretty interesting stuff detailing the McCain-Romney-Huckabee dynamic.  Read the full version here.

January 29, 2008

N.C. Partisan Index (NCPI) : Pretty Wicked

For political-junkies-cum-number-crunchers: the NCPI. (House, Senate)

As many of North Carolina’s citizens consider whether to run for the state Legislature this year, one of the first questions they ask is whether they have a good possibility of winning. Candidates and political consultants pore over data from past races and voter registration, trying to answer that question. This year, the Civitas Institute is pleased to bring another tool to the table: the North Carolina Partisan Index (NCPI).

Kinda makes me wish I took stats in school. (Nah.)
-Max borders

Boudreaux on the Presidential Election

Prof. Boudreaux: "Behind all the soaring (if vacuous) rhetoric, all the Janus-faced and shameless pandering, and all the sleazy campaign tactics lies one truth: each candidate's lust for power, fame, and the tawdry glory that comes with high political office.  Make no mistake: while pretending to tug for my heart, these candidates really are tugging for my freedoms and my wallet."
-Max Borders

January 25, 2008

Blogger Running for Office

Dean Stephens who blogs here (and here) is running for public office in Eastern North Carolina.
-Max Borders

January 22, 2008

Electing the Superintendent of Public Instruction

With all the discussion on Dome and other political blogs (here) today on Bob Orr's proposal to appoint the Superintendent of Public Instruction, I thought I'd did into the archives of RCC here and point out something I wrote back in June regarding public financing of campaigns.  (Remember, Superintendent is one of the races that the General Assembly approved for a pilot program of public funding of political campaigns.)

First, why are we even electing some of these Council of State positions?  Do we really need to elect the Superintendent of Public Instruction?  As Gov. Easily has proven through his appointment of JB Buxton (who lost to June Atkinson in the 2004 Primary), the position is little more of a figure head and the real power lies in the State Board of Education.

What about Agriculture or Labor Commissioner?  Shouldn't these positions just be appointed by the Governor?   If anything we should be electing the Secretary of Transportation, maybe then we can see some accountability out of that department.

Revisionist History?

It is often the Clinton's who are accused of using "revisionist history" to look back on past events and portray them different than they actually happened.  But it seems Obama has been stealing a page from their book.

In last night's debate, Obama referred to his praise for Reagan in being that he (Reagan) was "a transformative figure because he was able to get Democrats to vote against their own economic interests to form a majority to push through their agenda."

What?  How was it against the "economic interests" of Democrats to vote against double-digit interest rates and  gas rationing and for tax cuts in 1980?

And it was again against their "economic interests" to vote against Walter Mondale's vow to raise their taxes in 1984?

Wow.  Either that is some revisionist history or a seriously distorted view of what is in the best interest of average citizens.
Who knows, maybe this is what Obama believes -- that the best interest of people is to vote for higher taxes and more government regulations since we all know that government knows better how you should live your life and spend your money.

January 18, 2008

More Vaporub "Stimulus" for Medicaid and Economy

Grace Marie Turner shoots down another stimulus idea -- the Federal matching system is bad enough as it is:

Among the bad ideas floating around Washington to stimulate the lagging economy is a proposal that would boost the federal government's matching payments to the states for Medicaid

Our colleague Bob Helms of the American Enterprise Institute has done excellent original research on the flaws with "the FMAP" -- Federal Medical Assistance Percentage.
The Federal government provides money to the states to "match" their Medicaid expenditures. But it has become mostly a way for rich states to game the system at the expense of poor states. How this is supposed to help the economy is beyond me.

Richer states, like New York, get a lower federal match -- 50% -- and poorer states, like Mississippi, get a much higher federal matching payment -- 76%. Sounds fair. But when all is said and done, the great majority of federal money actually goes to the richer states.

Nine states, led by New York and California, got half of all federal Medicaid money in 2005, Helms finds. The reason: They can afford to boost their Medicaid spending to "buy" the federal matching dollars. Poorer states can't.

Further, raising the FMAP is just a back-door way of boosting entitlement spending, doing little to contribute to real economic growth or create new private-sector jobs. This is a bad idea that should be scratched off the list of options for the economic stimulus package. lternative minimum tax, and make the Bush tax cuts permanent.

The economy would soar in anticipation of this real economic growth package.
-Max Borders

January 17, 2008

Politicians' Dumb Idea Roundup

Thanks Dome...

- Rep. Pricey Harrison wonders why her favored legislation resulted in negative unintended consequences. (Poof. Water fund turns into a "pricey" $740,000 water pipe.)
- Gubernatorial candidate Bill Graham thinks incentives are "needed". (Leave it to a lawyer to fail Economics 101.)
- McCrory, master of pork, is tapdances around the incentives question.
(If he'll spend that much on the folly trolley, think of what he'll give away in corporate welfare.)
-Max Borders

January 14, 2008

Advice for McCrory

Jack Betts (HT: Dome) says McCrory should:

* Raise money and get endorsements.
* Hone his pitch to conservative primary voters.
* Develop thicker skin when criticized.
* Center his message around the needs of urban areas.

As long as we're doling out advice for Pat McCrory, I'd add:
Change your party affiliation to reflect your ideological leanings, or start acting like a conservative (at least a fiscal conservative) real fast.
-Max Borders

January 12, 2008

Boudreaux on the Queen Emoter

Clinton finds emotion, runs with it. Boudreaux to the WaPo:

For the past few years, persons on the left have described themselves proudly as being members of the "reality-based community."  This community, ostensibly, insists that policies be based on facts, reason, and intelligent thinking rather than upon myths, superstitions, and sloppy thinking.

So we can trust, I presume, that Sen. Clinton's remarks yesterday in Los Angeles will cost her the votes of reality-based citizens.  Speaking about the economy, Ms. Clinton declared that "the statistics are one thing, the stories are something altogether different. . . .  It doesn't matter what you're told.  It's what you feel, what you feel deep down" ("Clinton Proposes $70 Billion To Stimulate Economy," January 12).  As a wag once noted, the plural of "anecdote" is not "data."  And because facts are found with the head and not the heart, Ms. Clinton's "feelings" - no matter their depth - would be a dangerous guide to policy.

January 11, 2008

Politics and Cults

Interesting piece on the cults of Paul, Obama, etc.
-Max Borders

January 09, 2008

Race and the Democratic Primary

Reading much of the analysis of the Democratic Presidential primary results after Iowa and New Hampshire it seems an overwhelming majority of the talk is on "change vs. experience" or gender and age issues.  Not much is being paid attention to the 800 lb gorilla in the room -- race.

If this were the Republican primary with an black male (say, Colin Powell or J.C. Watts) running, the media would be using every backhanded way imaginable to call any Republican who didn't support that candidate a racist.  You could imagine that just about every lead story would focus on "white folks voting for a black guy."

So why is that same scrutiny not given to the Democratic primary?  Iowa is 94.6% white.  New Hampshire is even more homogeneous at 95.8% white.

There's a theory being bandied about in the political circles today (here, here, and here among others) that one possible explanation of why the polls leading up to New Hampshire were so far off and the results in Iowa and New Hampshire were different is to look at each state's voting process.  The polling results could have fallen victim to something called the Bradley Effect -- named for Tom Bradley, an African-American Democrat who ran for Los Angeles Mayor in 1982 -- polls showed him up by double digits a few days before the election but he narrowly lost.  Here in NC, we saw similar results with the Helms-Gantt races.  Polling in those races showed a much closer race than it eventually turned out to be.  The gist of the Bradley Effect is that when surveyed, white voters will give the socially responsible answer and say they will vote for the black candidate for fear of being judged as a racist, but when they get to the voting booths, they make a different selection. 

Did something similar effect Iowa and New Hampshire?  Many political pundits seem to think so.

In Iowa, you must stand in a room full of people and join the group of supporters of your candidate -- your choice for President is publicly known.  Does the potential for ridicule or shame or even the hint of being thought of as racist by your neighbors and peers in the room with you, possibly even judging you, not push some people towards the Obama camp?
 
In New Hampshire, you stand behind the drawn curtain of the voting booth and cast your ballot in secret.  So Democrats in New Hampshire, when surveyed can give the "politically correct" answer and say they are voting for the African-American candidate (hence the double-digit lead in the polls), then go into the voting booth and freely cast their ballot and not have to face the public scrutiny of not being considered a good liberal and vote for the black guy.

Does it explain everything from Iowa and New Hampshire, no, but it's something to consider.  It's an interesting dichotomy to explore, and surely one that would be discussed much, much more if this was happening in the Republican primary.

January 08, 2008

Tears and the Social Engineer

Professor Boudreaux on tears and the social engineer:

Surely I'm not alone in being horrified by the soaring narcissism and arrogance that Hillary Clinton revealed yesterday during her tearful moment in New Hampshire ("Tears Have Turned Campaigns," January 8).  She confessed that she could not maintain her brutal campaign pace if she "didn't just passionately believe it was the right thing to do."  The Senator continued: "I have so many ideas for this country, and I just don't want to see us fall backwards as a nation. This is very personal for me."

No one person is as important to a free country as Ms. Clinton fancies herself to be.  More fundamentally, her burning "personal" desire to subject all Americans to her "many ideas" is evidence of a frightening itch to be a social engineer.  Anyone itching as badly as Ms. Clinton claims to itch to rule over others should never be trusted with power.

-Max Borders

January 04, 2008

The Forgotten Man

Mitch Kokai has a great interview with Amity Shlaes on her wonderful book "The Forgotten Man," which is a public choice treatment of the Great Depression. For those of us who were sold, and have bought into, the mythology of FDR's big government saving the country from the Depression, its time to look at these years from a very different perspectives. (Here's the book.)
-Max Borders

January 02, 2008

McCrory: Big Government Republican?

Talk of a Pat McCrory candidacy has the state chattering classes (such as they are) all astir with speculation. It's true: McCrory is a Republican. But is he a conservative? At least: is he a fiscal conservative?

As mayor of the Queen City, his crowning achievement is supposed to be that let-them-eat-cake trolley and the accompanying transit tax -- which Under the Dome seems to think is an achievement. If money fell like manna from heaven and central planning worked, it might be a ok. But Charlotte's light rail is a massive error IMHO, where that shiny new toy obscures the tremendous costs spread out over the state and even the rest of the country (onto people who will likely never see it or ride it).

And wasn't McCrory mixed up in the corporate welfare projects of the Bobcats Arena?  He's been a very effective mayor. But effective at what? At lobbying the city, the state and the feds for resources to concentrating expensive, wasteful goodies on the people of Charlotte? This suggests to me that he'd be that kind of governor, too.

Basically, he's going to have to prove his credentials as a fiscal conservative if he's going to attract anybody except those who function on the get-us-goodies calculus. People of principle and economic sanity may not bother with him.

(Note: Ryan Beckwith's Dome post (linked above) intended "achieve" in the neutral sense of being able to get it done. He did not want to editorialize with the post. - MB)
-Max Borders

December 28, 2007

Billionaires for Big Government

Soros and other guilt-ridden ex-hedge-fund speculators are putting big bucks behind their favorite big government candidates. (More here.)This is about corporate interests backing horses as much as ideology.

Expect no less from the likes of Z. Smith Reynolds and the Fletcher Foundation here in North Carolina. What a titanic war. What a titanic waste of resources.

Just think if all this political money went to social entrepreneurship -- rather than who gets to run the bureaucracies.
-Max Borders

December 04, 2007

Waiting on More from Orr

Gubernatorial candidate Bob Orr promises us edifying commentary on a slew of issues here, but we're still waiting on "more from Orr".
-Max Borders

December 03, 2007

Basnight: Transportation Funds & Power

What's obvious in N.C. is the power Senator Marc Basnight (D-Dare) exerts in the General Assembly. Our intuitions should also lead us to an, at least, partial explanation of that power in the accretion of transportation funds around his constituents' counties (courtesy of John Hood and especially this pdf):

What leaps right out at you is the color-coded graph, which appears to demonstrate conclusively that the counties getting the best transportation deal are located mostly in the northeast corner of North Carolina – which happens to be the domain of longtime Senate leader Marc Basnight – and in some pockets of the western mountains.

I wonder: if one were to scrutinize Marc Basnight to the degree they scrutized Jim Black, would they find more paper bags, cash and quid pro quo patronage? You bet your driveway they would. It's time bloggers and savvy journalists started looking more carefully at this man's activities -- past and present.
-Max Borders

November 28, 2007

How the Left Teaches Independent Thinking

BabyPolitico. Cradle to grave welfare. Cradle to grave propaganda.

-Max Borders

November 16, 2007

Rove is Right

Whether you agree or disagree with the tactics and influence Karl Rove has had on American politics over the past seven years, he is right on the money with his recent assessment of the Presidential race:

And asked about how he sees next year’s general election playing out, Rove made no bones about his prediction (or preference?) that Clinton will be the Democratic nominee. In order for Republicans to win, he said, the party must “articulate a strong and positive and optimistic agenda,” warning, “It’s not enough to simply say, ‘I’m not her.’”

Too often I hear Republican candidates and party operatives claim that 2008 is going to be a good year for Republicans simply because Hillary Clinton is going to be on the ballot and that she will guarantee record turnout for Republicans hell bent on keeping her from being elected President.

To them I say, heed Rove's warning.

November 08, 2007

A Lesson for NC Republicans?

Elections in Virginia on Tuesday yielded huge gains for the Democratic Party in the state.  Despite having wildly popular Governors (Kaine and formerly Mark Warner), Republicans had controlled the House of Delegates and the Senate.

That all changed on Tuesday when Democrats picked up four seats in the Senate to take a majority of seats. How did this happen?  What were the issues?

According to the Washington Post, the Republicans' loss was based on their almost single issue focus on illegal immigration while the Democrats talked about growth and traffic, especially in Northern Virginia.

Voters across Virginia chose candidates in state and local elections yesterday not out of anger over illegal immigration but based on party affiliation, a preference for moderation and strong views on such key issues as residential growth and traffic congestion.

With a few notable exceptions, the trend benefited Democrats and not those who campa